Spain vs France predictions, betting tips and odds

Where to watch Spain vs France

You can watch Spain vs France in the Nations League at 8pm on Thursday, June 5, live on Amazon Prime Video pay-per-view

Spain vs France prediction & best bet

Spain
1pt 11-8 Coral

Spain vs France odds

Here are the latest odds ahead of Spain vs France in the Nations League semi-final

Odds correct at time of publishing

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Spain vs France predictions

There was French success on German soil in the Champions League final last weekend but the national team may struggle to emulate Paris St-Germain when they face Spain in their Nations League semi-final in Stuttgart.

Five triumphant PSG players have been called up by France coach Didier Deschamps, whose squad also includes Marcus Thuram and Benjamin Pavard of runners-up Inter.

Even if Deschamps chooses to keep his Champions League final representatives on the bench, France could line up with a tasty front three of Kylian Mbappe, Randal Kolo Muani and Michael Olise.

But Les Bleus have some significant injury absentees in defence, including Arsenal centre-back William Saliba, and Spain should be backed to win in 90 minutes.

La Roja have developed into a winning machine under coach Luis de la Fuente and they ended France’s hopes of Euro 2024 glory at the semi-final stage.

Spain responded superbly after falling behind to a ninth-minute Kolo Muani header and, less than 15 minutes later, they led 2-1 thanks to goals from Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo.

Having knocked out tournament hosts Germany in the last eight, La Roja beat England 2-1 in the final and they are aiming to cement their status as Europe’s top team in the Nations League.

Schedule for the 2024-25 Nations League Finals

They needed penalties to progress from their quarter-final tie with the Netherlands after a remarkable 5-5 aggregate draw but their defence may have an easier time against France.

For all the star names at Deschamps’ disposal, Les Bleus remain a stuttering attacking force and four of their last 15 matches have ended 0-0.

They scored only three times in their first five games at the Euros – an Mbappe penalty and two opposition own goals – and lost 2-0 to Croatia in the first leg of their Nations League quarter-final.

Olise and Ousmane Dembele, who had a sensational season for PSG, scored in the return leg to take the tie to extra-time and penalties but Spain’s midfield strength means they should be capable of controlling the semi-final tempo.

Pedri, who missed the Euros wins over France and England due to a knee injury, has looked back to his imperious best at Barcelona this season.

His Barca teammate Gavi is another midfield option for De la Fuente, who has Martin Zubimendi, Mikel Merino and Champions League winner Fabian Ruiz as cover for the absent Rodri.

Before Spain’s home and away draws with the Netherlands in the last eight, they had won 13 of their previous 15 internationals in 90 minutes and they can advance to Sunday’s final in style.

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Key stat

Spain have won 13 of their last 17 matches in 90 minutes 

Spain vs France team news

Spain
Rodri (knee) and Ferran Torres (appendicitis) are not in the squad and right-back Dani Carvajal remains sidelined. Midfielders Isco and Gavi are hoping to make their first international appearances since 2019 and 2023.

France
Didier Deschamps will assess the seven members of his squad who were involved in the Champions League final. Midfielder Eduardo Camavinga and defenders William Saliba, Dayot Upamecano and Jules Kounde are injured but attacking midfielder Rayan Cherki could win his first senior cap.

Spain vs France predicted line-ups

Spain (4-2-3-1): Simon; Porro, Cubarsi, Le Normand, Cucurella; Pedri, Zubimendi; Yamal, Olmo, N Williams; Morata
Subs: Oyarzabal, Gavi, Isco, Ruiz, Merino, Grimaldo, Huijsen

France (4-3-3): Maignan; Gusto, Konate, L Hernandez, Digne; Tchouameni, Kone, Rabiot; Olise, Kolo Muani, Mbappe
Subs: Dembele, Doue, Pavard, Cherki, Lenglet, Zaire-Emery, Thuram

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Spain vs France bet builder predictions

Over 2.5 goals
Eight of Spain’s last ten internationals featured over 2.5 goals, dating back to their 2-1 victory over France in the Euro 2024 semi-final

Nico Williams to have over 1.5 shots
The highly rated Spain winger scored in the quarter-final first leg against the Netherlands and has racked up 16 shots in his last three Nations League appearances

Lucas Digne to commit one or more fouls 
France’s left-back can expect a testing 90 minutes against Spain starlet Lamine Yamal while La Roja’s attack-minded right-back Pedro Porro may also cause Digne problems

Pays out at 9-2 with bet365

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